Is USA going to invade Venezuela after presidential election?

2020/01/31

It has been a year since the time of the attempted coup in Venezuela. It has become clear that the attempt of the United States was not successful. However, the people of Venezuela still have trouble sleeping.

Venezuela has Chavez in its heart

The Trump administration underestimated the support Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro would receive both inside and outside the country.

Juan Guaido was not re-elected chairman of the opposition National Assembly. Guaido, the puppet, travels around the world begging for sanctions to be tightened further. Attempts to force the Venezuelan military to turn their back on Maduro have failed as well. Chavism is an ideology that the Venezuelans cherish and protect.

The introduction of free market elements has done its job, and people could finally see food products in stores.  

International support for Maduro

Russia, Cuba, China, India and even Turkey, a US ally for NATO, help Venezuela overcome sanctions that prohibit the purchase of oil and gold. Of course, these countries help while respecting their own interests.

In nine months after their introduction, almost a half of Venezuela's estimated oil exports worth $ 1.5 billion went to India: the fuel was sold to a Russian-Indian joint venture, part of Russia's Rosneft giant, The Wall Street Journal wrote with reference to Genius.

The remaining part of Venezuelan oil goes to China, Turkey and other countries.

According to Venezuelan authorities, since the end of 2018, the United Arab Emirates has purchased gold from Caracas worth $1 billion. According to US intelligence, the real volume of gold exports is much higher with trade going through intermediaries in Colombia, Uganda and other countries.

Time works for Venezuela

Nevertheless, against such a fiasco, the United Stattes does not abandon its plans for an armed intervention in Venezuela.

Mike Pompeo said in an interview with El Nuevo Herald and Miami Herald on Thursday that the USA does not have much time to make Maduro leave. According to him, the Maduro regime "understands very well" that the USA and the EU will see the arrest of Guaido or any other senior leaders of the National Assembly as a serious violation of freedoms and rights of the Venezuelan people. Pompeo did not disclose details of future sanctions against the governments of Russia and Cuba, which he accuses of supporting Maduro.

The US administration continues to analyze where the money for the Maduro regime comes from and how.

US plans for Venezuela intervention

In this regard, the article by military observer of The National Interest, David Ax titled  "Why it would take at least 100,000 soldiers to invade Venezuela" seems very interesting.

"The problem is that an invasion could further destabilize Venezuela, hurt, kill or displace countless innocent Venezuelans, alienate the U.S. government in a region that is hostile to American meddling and also get a lot of Americans killed," the author writes.

Ax refers to the opinion of military expert Shannon O'Neil, who noted to Bloomberg that an invasion of Venezuela would require more power than an invasion of Grenada and Panama, and could be more risky.

Venezuela "is twice the size of Iraq with only a slightly smaller population, and teeters on the verge of chaos. Any invasion requires preparations on a similar scale, meaning a 100,000-plus force."

US troops are unlikely to be welcomed in Venezuela, he added.

"A poll shows a majority of Venezuelans, including a plurality of those in Venezuela's opposition, oppose an invasion. A U.S. military presence would play into, and would at least in part validate, [Venezuelan president Nicolas] Maduro's loudly proclaimed imperialist conspiracies."

The reason for the intervention is ready

Reflecting on the pretext of the intervention, Ax indicates that on May 2, 2019, SOUTHCOM commander Craig Faller told the congressional committee that the most likely scenario is a military mission to assist US citizens in evacuating from Venezuela. About 200 US troops are deployed in Colombia and can immediately assist in the evacuation, he said.

Retired U.S. Navy Admiral James Stavridis, head of SOUTHCOM in 2006-2009, shares the same point of view.

"The most aggressive contingency plan they are looking at would be one that would protect American citizens if for some reason there were a backlash against them. That would be the only circumstance in which I could see U.S. troop presence," he said.

The Americans have recently accused Maduro of protecting Hezbollah. Vice President Mike Pence said that he gave Iran shelter for his agents.

The president of Venezuela was also accused of aiding the Colombian National Liberation Army (Ejército de Liberación Nacional, ELN), which allegedly detonated a bomb near the Colombian Police Academy last year.

If there a provocation with victims among the Americans living in Venezuela, the US will intervene. The Americans already working on Latin American countries to have a certain amount of support in case of aggression. In fact, it is only Cuba, Uruguay, Mexico and Argentina that support Maduro, or rather his legitimacy and sovereignty. It is not at all a fact that they will stand up against American aggression in other circumstances.

Of course, Trump does not need a bloody operation in Venezuela before the US presidential election, but who knows what is going to happen after. His reputation as president is at stake by the way.

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Russia panics as two cases of coronavirus infection reported in Siberia

2020/01/31

Two cases of the new coronavirus infections have been reported in Russia. Both patients are Chinese nationals residing in the Trans-Baikal Territory and in the Tyumen region, Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova said.

Cases of coronavirus infection have thus been reported in more than 20 countries. Russia will evacuate its citizens from China and reduce the number of flights to the country.

Golikova heads the operational headquarters to control and prevent the arrival and spread of the new coronavirus infection in Russia.

"Two coronavirus patients were identified in Russia - in Trans-Baikal and in Tyumen regions, both are Chinese citizens," Golikova told reporters.

Both of the infected individuals traveled to China in January. The individuals were isolated and placed in a boxed hospital ward.

"One of them was staying on the territory of the PRC for almost a month, having left there on December 28 before returning on January 26. The other person returned to Russia from China on January 28," officials said.

The two patients have no acute symptoms. They had signs of respiratory viral infections and had a slight increase in body temperature. Now their condition is stable, they have no clinical manifestations of the disease.

Russia evacuates its citizens from China

Golikova also announced the beginning of the evacuation of Russian citizens from the city of Wuhan and, in general, from Hubei province, from where the new coronavirus began to spread.

According to her, the Russians will be given a choice:

  • either to stay in China or return to Russia
  • if they choose to return, they will have to spend two weeks in quarantine.

There are about 300 Russian nationals in Wuhan and 341 in the province of Hubei.

"As for organized tours, there are about 2,665 Russian citizens in Hainan. All those citizens will have to return home by February 4. They will be returned by charter flights," said Tatiana Golikova.

There will be no mandatory quarantine for them - with the exception of those who will have any signs of illness or fever, the Deputy Prime Minister explained. According to her, all procedural formalities will be settled in less than 24 hours "and the evacuation will begin immediately."

The evacuation will be carried out by the Ministry of Transport of Russia and the Federal Air Transport Agency. The forces of EMERCOM are not going to be used.

Russia restricts flights with China

In addition, according to Golikova, Russia has limited flights with China. Aeroflot will be the only Russian airline that will preserve all regular flights to China. Regular flights of Chinese airlines will be preserved too.

"We close all aviation frequencies, with the exception of Aeroflot's, which will fly regular flights to four Chinese cities - Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Hong Kong. By agreement with the People's Republic of China, four Chinese airlines fly to Moscow, and they will continue working on a regular basis" Golikova said.

On Jan, 31, Moscow's Sheremetyevo Airport moved all flights departing or arriving from China to Terminal F.

It is not planned to stop mail and cargo transportation with China, said Golikova.

In addition to Aeroflot, S7 and Ural Airlines perform regular flights to China. Air China, China Southern, China Eastern, Beijing Capital, Hainan Airlines fly from China to Moscow's Sheremetyevo.

The Russian ruble has declined moderately against the dollar and the euro amid the news of first cases of the new coronavirus infection in Russia.

Coronavirus causes international panic

The World Health Organization (WHO) recognized the outbreak of coronavirus as a state of emergency of global scale.

The new virus has killed already more than 210 people and infected almost 10,000 in China. According to WHO, 98 infected were identified in 18 other countries, but there were no fatalities. Symptoms of infection include fever, cough, shortness of breath. Russia became the 23rd country in the world where the coronavirus from China was reported.

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Mystic Women of India: Helavanakatte Giriyamma

2020/01/31

Dr. Sheeba Rakesh

"O great Mother of the world!

How did you lose your heart to a person,

Who negotiated a number of challenges?

(In his incarnation as "Narsimha " or the Lion God) he revealed

His hairy body,  dancing feet and hands.

Grinding his canny teeth, he split open,

The intestines of the demon...

O great one! How did you lose your heart to such a person?

(As Vmana) he begged as a poor Brahmin.

(As Parshurama) chopped off the head of the mother, who gave him birth.

(As Ram) he built a house for his wife in the dense forest

In Gokula, (as Krishna) he enjoyed the company of women.

O great one! how did you lose your heart to such a person?

He is the great Sriranga(Visnu) of Helavanakatte,

Lord, who bestows grace and affection on his devotees.

O great Mother of the World!

How did you lose your heart to him!?"

 

(Giriyamma, in the above song, describes the Dasavtara: the ten incarnations of Lord Vishnu and enquires, how Lakshmi married Him!?)

The Dvaita school or the school of thought, which follows the principle of Dualism as opposed to the philosophy of the Advaita(non dualism) is as important to the spiritual structure of the Indian spiritual beliefs as the latter. Founded by Madhvacharya(1238-1317), the system believed, that the Supreme Soul and the individual Soul, were two distinct entities and that, the latter must aspire to achieve the former. Lord Vishnu, became the personal deity  for the followers of this school.

Flourishing around the regions of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, the Haridasas(literally, " servants of Hari" or "Vishnu") were a strong spiritual presence during the medieval period of India's history. The Haridasas had two groups: One group was called , the Dasakuta and was responsible for spreading Madhavacharya's philosophy among the people in the vernacular language. The second group was known as the Vyasakuta, had people who were conversant with the Vedas and the other spiritual works. The second group also propagated the Dvaita philosophy, but they used a new literary medium called the  Dasa Sahitya, which meant " literature of the servants of the Lord." Their compositions were called "Devaramanas" or the "names of the Lord."

Narratives

Narratives tell us, that the Haridasa movement, began during the times Sripadaraja, when the ancient texts became incomprehensible to people, beacause of Sanskrit language, in which they had been written. It was at this time, that the Haridasas (also a part of the immediate cultural revival in medieval India), brought out the spiritual gist of the texts in the form of simple musical compositions, in the common language of the people.

One such Haridasa woman was Helavanakatte Giriyamma(17th-18thc.) An ardent devotee of Lord Ranganath(a form of Lord Vishnu), she is still fondly remembered for her songs of devotion, which are popularly sung till date. Her compositions were in Kannada.

Oral narratives, tell us that, having lost her parents at a very tender age, she was brought up by her uncle. Although, young girls were not fortunate enough to be educated in medieval India-a practice starkly opposed to the ancient vedic times-Giriyamma was lucky enough to have received education at home. The deeply spiritual atmosphere, at home, inculcated a deep sense of devotion in her. She was married at the age of 10-12, but was rather averse to leading a mundane family life. Next, she persuaded her husband to marry another woman and began to lead an ascetic life. Since, she was childless people openly ostracised her and told her that she was "unfit" to compose songs , in praise of the Lord. It was her own teacher, who having seen her palms, commented that, she had  palms and lines befitting those of  Kausalya(Mother of Lord Ram) and Devaki(Lord Krishna's mother) and encouraged her to reflect on the childhood of the Lord of the Universe. Interestingly, unlike many other women saints and mystics, she received full cooperation from her family to pursue her spiritual goals. It is even said, that eventually, through spiritual discipline and devotion, she began to perform miracles and people would flock to her for relief.

Songs

Her songs, as is believed, came to her through divine inspiration and portrayed her tender love for her deity, whom, unlike the other women mystics, she regarded as her child. Giriyamma also stands apart as an example of a woman, who, though, belonging to a very humble background, yet lived an extraordinary life. She was an ardent spiritual seeker and like most women mystics, sought answers about the Oneness of the human soul with the Supreme Consciousness, instead of living a mundane life. Love for the Universe keeps her and many more like her alive even after centuries of passing away. Giriyamma , in her songs makes ample references to the stories of Indian epics, the Ramayana and the Mahabharata.  Her songs still echo in the voices of the women of the Haridasi community. Known to Karnataka, but not as avidly famous outside of the region, there have been books and serials devoted to her.

Photo: By Dineshkannambadi at en.wikipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://ift.tt/2tV7pd7

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Russia closes border with China because of 2019-nCoV coronavirus

2020/01/30

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin ordered to temporarily close the border with China in the Far East of Russia as part of the fight against the spread of the new coronavirus.

"An order was signed today, it went into work. Today we will accordingly inform everyone about the measures to close the border in the Far Eastern region, as well as about other measures that the government has taken," Mishustin said at a government meeting.

Not a single case of infection has been recorded on the territory of the Russian Federation so far, "but, of course, we must do everything to protect our people." Mishustin added that the government reports the situation to President Vladimir Putin on a daily basis.

The Prime Minister also instructed Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova, who heads 24/7 operational headquarters for the prevention of the coronavirus infection, "to  regularly inform the general public about the current situation daily, about the measures that the government is taking so that people do not have a lack of information."

Russia recommends drugs for treatment of coronavirus

The Russian Ministry of Health has developed and sent to regions temporary guidelines for the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of pneumonia caused by the new coronavirus. The recommendations are temporary and will be updated, the press service of the ministry said. The guidelines take into account the data from the World Health Organization, the Chinese, American and European Centers for Disease Control.

Symptoms, consequences and treatment of coronavirus

The guidelines from the Ministry of Health list the drugs for treating the new coronavirus: Rabavirin, recombinant interferon beta Ib and Lopinavir/Ritonavir. According to instructions:

  • Rabavirin is used to treat hepatitis C
  • recombinant interferon beta Ib reduces the frequency and severity of complications in patients with multiple sclerosis
  • Lopinavir/Ritonavir is used to treat HIV infection.

Prophylactic drug treatment is recommended during the first 48 hours after contact with the infected individual. The timing of this prophylaxis is set within the proposed incubation period (14 days) from the moment of the last contact with the source of the infection.

There is not enough information about the epidemiology, clinical features, prevention and treatment of the new coronavirus, the Ministry of Health said.

New coronavirus symptoms

"Clinical options and manifestations of 2019-nCoV infection: acute respiratory viral infection, pneumonia without respiratory failure, pneumonia with acute respiratory failure, acute respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis, septic (toxic-infectious) shock," the guidelines read.

First symptoms of the infection may include headaches, hemoptysis, diarrhea, nausea, and vomiting. In 90% of cases, body temperature rises, 80% start coughing, 55% complain of shortness of breath that becomes especially severe on the sixth or eighth day from the moment of infection, 44% complain of fatigue and muscle pain. The people who contract the disease become contagious even during the incubation period.

An analysis of information that specialists have at their disposal so far suggests that young people and children are less susceptible to coronavirus. Only a few children have been infected with the virus so far. In Wuhan, China, from where the infection began to spread, the average age of infected individuals makes up about 31 years old. Patients over 60 years and older who have chronic concomitant diseases suffer from the coronavirus most.

According to Chinese doctors, serious or critical condition develops with 25% of infected individuals, four percent die. In Wuhan, almost all those infected develop progressive pneumonia with respiratory failure in serious condition.

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Russia stops Dutch Russophobia

2020/01/29

Dutch MPs were surprised to find out that they were barred from entering Russia. They wanted to have a "constructive conversation" with Russia, throwing mud at Russia while staying on the territory of Russia, but they were not allowed to.

Russia stops Dutch Russophobe

Moscow refused to grant a visa to Sjoerd Sjoerdsma, a deputy from the Democrats 66 party, Dutch website nu.nl reports.

The publication quoted the Russian Foreign Ministry, a representative of which said that colleagues from the Netherlands "deliberately" included a sanctioned person on the list of delegates. The Dutch side was informed in advance that including Sjoerdsma in the delegation was undesirable because of his aggressive statements about Russia. However, despite warnings, The Hague deliberately arranged the provocation while being well aware of possible consequences, the statement from the Russian Foreign Ministry said.

"That is, (the Dutch) wanted a scandal to break out. They were not striving for a constructive discussion of ways to straighten the Russian-Dutch relations and issues on the international agenda," the Foreign Ministry said.

Russian diplomats believe that The Hague did not want the visit of Dutch parliamentarians to take place. Having canceled it under the pretext of solidarity, authorities ritually blame Russia.

What did Sjoerd Sjoerdsma do?

Nu.nl indicates that the Russian Foreign Ministry banned Sjoerdsma from entering the country, because he called for an early termination of the "disastrous year of friendship" in 2013, to boycott the Sochi Winter Olympics and hold Russia responsible for the crash of Flight MH17.

Sjoerdsma called these accusations "ridiculous."

"I do my job as a member of the parliament. I ask questions about violations of human rights and international law. This means that I criticized the Russian anti-gay law in 2013 and defend the interests of relatives of the MH17 disaster," the Dutch MP said.

Russia did not allow Sjoerdsma defame the country

The Dutch official says that it is absurd for him to be in the center of a diplomatic scandal.

"We must talk about Russian journalists who can't do their job, about the annexation of the Crimea, about the rights of the relatives of MH17 disaster. This is what should be discussed, but Russia makes it impossible for us," he said.

On Monday, Dutch Foreign Minister Stef Blok was informed that Russia denied entry to the member of the Democrats 66 party deputy, which stopped the Dutch delegation from entering Russia. Blok's attempts to куsolve the situation in a conversation with the Russian ambassador by removing Sjoerdsma from the list did not help, and the parliament canceled the trip, writes nu.nl.

Two questions remain open:

  •     Why did Blok want an outspoken Russophobe in the delegation after a 12-year break?
  •     The D66 party has a very clear anti-Russian position. Its leader, Alexander Pechtold, said that no Russian can be trusted. This statement sounds like a paradox for a country that stands against any form of discrimination. Why sending anti-Russian politicians to Russia?

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The deal of the century is a deal only for Trump and Netanyahu

2020/01/29

The "deal of the century" that was designed by Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu for the regulation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is a worthless piece of paper the purpose of which is to grab media attention to improve the stained images of the two politicians, Vladimir Vasilyev, an Americanologist believes.

What the "deal of the century" is about

Donald Trump came up with a joint plan with Israel to create the independent state of Palestine, provided that the Palestinians recognize Israeli sovereignty over illegal settlements in the West Bank.

Trump stated during at a press conference in the White House, standing next to Prime Minister Netanyahu, that his proposals "could be the last opportunity" for the Palestinians.

"My vision presents a "win-win" opportunity for both sides, a realistic two-state solution that resolves the risk of Palestinian statehood to Israel's security," Donald Trump said.

"The deal of the century," as Trump described it, includes the following:

  • The United States recognizes Israel's sovereignty over the territory, which, according to the Trump plan, is part of Israel. Trump publishes this map on his Twitter. Palestinian enclaves account for only 15% of what is called "the historical Palestine" (before 1948, when Israel was founded) and about 60% of the borders before 1967 - the six-day war of the Arabs with Israel.
  • Trump is ready to cede East Jerusalem to the Palestinians as the capital, where, according to Trump, the US will open its embassy. However, Jerusalem will remain the undivided capital of Israel. A closer look shows that the land for the Palestinians is located in the eastern suburbs of Jerusalem and not inside the historical borders of the city.
  • An opportunity for the Palestinians to create their own independent state. However, the plan does not provide for its immediate recognition. No Palestinian or Israeli will be expelled from their homes, the plan says, which provides for the preservation of existing Jewish settlements in the West Bank of Jordan, which Israel occupies.
  • Israel will cooperate with the King of Jordan to ensure the status quo of the holiest site in Jerusalem, known as the Temple Mount or as Haram al-Sharif, as Muslim people call it.
  • The territory allotted to the Palestinians will remain open and will not be populated for four years. During this time, the Palestinians will be able to study the deal, negotiate with Israel and achieve the criteria of statehood.
  • The State of Palestine will emerge in four years if the Palestinians accept this plan, if the Palestinian Authority stops paying terrorists and inciting terrorism, and if Hamas and Islamic Jihad lay down their arms.
  • In addition, the US-Israeli plan calls on the Palestinians to abandon corruption, respect human rights, freedom of religion and freedom of the press. If these conditions are met, the United States will recognize the state and implement a large-scale economic plan to support it.

Palestine's reaction to the "deal of the century"

Mahmoud Abbas, the President of Palestine (which Israel considers its autonomy) rejected the plans as a "conspiracy."

"I want to say to Trump and Netanyahu -- Jerusalem is not for sale. All our rights are not for sale or for compromise. Your deal is a conspiracy and it will not work," Abbas said in a news conference in Ramallah in the West Bank.

"The Palestinian people deserve to live on their land," Abbas added.

"We tell the world: we are not terrorists and will never be them," he said.

Abbas also said that the Palestinians would immediately start taking steps to change the "functional role of the [Palestinian] administration" in order to implement the recommendations made by the institutions of the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) over the past two years. Apparently, it goes about the efforts to stop cooperation with Israel in the field of security.

The union of two toxic politicians - Trump and Netanyahu

Vladimir Vasilyev, chief researcher at the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences, told Pravda.Ru that the peace plan per se is nothing but a worthless piece of paper. It appeared against the backdrop of the political situation inside the United States and in Israel, the expert said.

According to him, against the background of the impeachment process, Trump's peace plan is a form of gentle pressure on the Democratic faction in the Senate, taking into consideration the fact that main sponsor is the pro-Israeli lobby.

"The Democrats were told: You see, we accept your plans, we accept the resolution of the Palestinian problem on the principles of the two states, as was stated in the UN Security Council resolution from 1948, and in this regard our position today is no different from yours. Trump is a person who offers the deal of the century, and you want to impeach him," the expert said.

As for Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel is facing severe problems in his homeland, where he faces charges of corruption. He may lose the post of the prime minister and appear as a participant in a criminal case.

"This led to the creation of a union of two politicians, who found themselves in difficult situations. Trump is appealing to the pro-Israeli lobby and says that he enjoys the support of Israel. Netanyahu says that he enjoys the support of the US administration. One barber shaves another gratis," said Vladimir Vasiliev.

According to the expert, as soon as the threat of impeachment goes, the Trump administration will quickly move away from this plan or let it drop under the pretext of the contradictory nature of Palestine. Netanyahu likes the idea too.

What the world thinks about the "deal of the century"

The Palestinians want the West Bank to be the core of a future independent state, and see Israeli settlements (nearly 500,000 Israelis) as an obstacles to their dream of independence. The international community supports this view and overwhelmingly considers Jewish settlements illegitimate. After the capture of the West Bank during the war in the Middle East in 1967, Israel has been expanding its settlements without reserving their annexation. The UN condemned the Jewish settlements as illegal, but refrained from imposing sanctions or severe penalties.

However, before the March parliamentary elections, Netanyahu's Likud party and the Blue and White party of his opponent, Benny Gantz, stated in their programs that they would extend the Israeli jurisdiction to the occupied lands, which, in essence, means their annexation.

Yuval Shany, an international law expert at the Israel Democracy Institute, said that the annexation would significantly increase the risk of the criminal prosecuton of Israel in the International Criminal Court (ICC). The court will view the settlements illegal on the basis of the Geneva Convention, according to which the occupying power is prohibited from moving its population to conquered territories.

  • EU officials said that they would look into Trump's proposals before giving an objective assessment. EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell said that both the Palestinians and the Israelis need "new inclusive negotiations."
  • The UN Secretary General, Antonio Guterres, stated that the borders of Palestine and Israel should be determined by the accords from 1967.
  • The Turkish Foreign Ministry condemned Trump's peace plan. According to representatives of the Turkish Foreign Ministry, this plan is "stillborn."
  • Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that one should find out the point of view of Palestine on the subject. At a press conference in Moscow, he noted that the Russian side had not studied the initiative nor had it received any details of the proposal from US counterparts.

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Father leaves his two little boys alone at Moscow airport

2020/01/28

The story of two boys, who were abandoned by their father at Moscow's Sheremetyevo Airport, has received an extensive media coverage in Russia.

Viktor Gavrilov, a 41-year-old resident of Komsomolsk-on-Amur, abandoned his two boys at the airport  terminal, having left a note. He wrote that he was forced to leave his children due to financial problems, but he promised to come back for them later. The man's wife accused him of domestic violence. However, it turned out that the woman can hardly be referred to as a good mother too.

'I'll come to pick them up later'

The story of two little boys, left by their father at Sheremetyevo Airport in Moscow, began on the evening of January 26. Officers found the two boys, aged five and seven, after 18:00. The children from Komsomolsk-on-Amur (the Khabarovsk region) had all their documents with them, including school diaries, as well as a note from their father, Viktor Gavrilov. In the note, the man asked authorities to help his children, to temporarily accommodate them in an orphanage:

"At the moment I have a very difficult financial situation. I'll pick them up later. Please do not separate the children. Their doucments are in the backpack. I am sorry, but I do not see any other way out of this," the man wrote in the note.

It became known later that Gavrilov arrived flew Moscow with his children from the airport of Khabarovsk, and then disappeared. In a conversation with airport employees, the boys said that their father had already abandoned them before. As soon as the children were found, employees of the Moscow Interregional Investigative Department for Transport started investigation.

Representatives of child protection services said that the children would be accommodated in a social institution until their closest relatives are found. The boys were left at a Moscow hospital under the supervision of doctors and psychologists. However, it became known the next day that the boy's closest relatives did not want to take them into custody.

Family is society in miniature

Law-enforcement agencies found the boys' mother, Olga Pushkarva, in Komsomolsk-on-Amur. She did not know anything about the situation with her sons:

  • She started a new family and did not live either with her ex-husband or with her children from her first marriage.
  • The woman is pregnant with her third child, but she said that she would be ready to take the boys to her home.

The authorities of the Khabarovsk region are ready to assist in the transportation of the boys to the Khabarovsk region, because their mother is unable to come to pick them up to Moscow.

The couple divorced in 2018, and the court left the children to Gavrilov. After the divorce, Victor stopped letting his ex-wife see the boys. children and did not communicate with her. According to Olga Pushkareva, Gavrilov would frequently assault and humiliate her during their marriage. She had had four brain concussions and scars from stab wounds. When Victor was fired from his job, he came home and shaved his wife's hair off. Olga also said that her husband was doing all that in front of the boys' eyes, telling them that their mother was a very bad woman. At one point, one of the boys stopped talking and started stammering after treatment.

According to Victor Gavrilov, who turned himself in the Rostov region of Russia, his wife Olga would leave him many times during their family life. At one point, she left him and their children completely, while her relatives were unaware of her whereabouts for a long time.

Investigation is underway.

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Will Trump destroy America if he wins?

2020/01/28

Is the US the only global superpower? Do the Americans love Trump? Will he win the 2020 election? Will he destroy America if he wins again?

Does Russia need the American globalization? Will there ever be time when effective sanctions can be imposed on the United States? Who is going to win the war of civilizations?

Lyuba Lulko (Stepushova), an international observer of Pravda.Ru, asked these questions to Director of the Institute for the USA and Canada, Valery Garbuzov.

Is Trump going to win the election?

"Do you think Trump is going to win the election? Is it the domestic agenda that prevails in the United States today?"

Yes, the domestic agenda prevails.

There is a sign in America: if the president is re-elected for a second term in the year of economic recovery, he never loses.

Therefore, if the economic recovery continues till November, then Trump, of course, will stay in the White House. But there is still time. If problems with economy arise, then he will have problems too.

I believe that the Democrats have wasted all the years of Trump's presidency. They were trying to attack him in all possible ways, they organized his impeachment, but they should have been doing something totally different.

    They should have tried to think how they could raise a young leader who would be competitive in countering Trump.

But they did not. Look how many candidates they have - more than 25. They will not be able to beat him either collectively or one by one. Trump is invincible here.

His trump card is his ability to mobilize people, his electors.

People follow Donald Trump, not all of them, of course, but the number of his followers is enough to win in undecided states. He can win just like he won in 2016. I think that he is going to show the world what he can do this year, just like he did in 2016, no matter what.

It is worthy of note here that the Americans like those people who can stand attacks. Trump is being attacked, but he is still standing, and the Americans like it.

Although as a statesman, Trump is much weaker.

Will Russia respond with sanctions to the USA?

Do you think there will be time when other countries impose sanctions on the United States?  What sanctions can they be?

Sanctions can be different. There are international sanctions that are initiated, for example, by the United Nations Organization, and we believe that such sanctions are legitimate. There are sanctions that one state like the USA initiates, but they put together a coalition.

The Americans initiated sanctions against Russia and put together an anti-Russian coalition very quickly.

Moreover, they are extraterritorial sanctions that target the countries that violate those sanctions.

We consider those sanctions illegitimate, but they work. It would be very difficult to impose such sanctions on the USA.

  • First off, even though many countries dislike the United States, it is still an informal empire of the modern world that has global influence. There are many factors of global influence, starting from the currency, the US dollar. The dollar is a universal world currency that has existed for many decades.
  • Secondly, the United States of America has taken advantage of many international organizations, including the World Bank and NATO. There is a plentitude of other things that make the USA the only superpower in the world. When we talk about globalization, it goes about Americanization of the world in the first place.

When we talk about the Westernization of the East, it goes about Americanization of the East.

Many do not like it, but it is true.

Is it going to end some day? The pendulum will swing.

If we talk about progress, then it is connected with globalization after all. When Trump speaks against globalization, he speaks against the main progressive line. Globalization is a phenomenon that may come and go, but the line continues at all times.

It would be nice if this globalization could work for all members of the world community.

This is not going to happen. The West is in charge, and the West has its own laws and its own Western values. There is the East, there is the Middle East - there are completely different values there, where elements of Westernization come across strong resistance.

The East is too reluctant about globalization, especially when it goes in such a rude manner. Anyway, globalization is the future. At the same time, the future is about the clash between those who endorse this globalization and those who do not accept it. In fact, the war of civilizations is gathering pace right before our eyes.

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Coronavirus Outbreak, A Global Public Health Emergency?

2020/01/28

Coronavirus Outbreak, A Global Public Health Emergency?

In late December, the World Health Organization (WHO) noted cases of a new virus strain unseen before.

Days later, Chinese authorities confirmed a new coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan City, a contagious respiratory illness.

On Tuesday, a WHO alert cited a "very high (risk of contagion) in China, high at the regional level and high at the global level" - despite few cases of the disease so far outside its epicenter in Wuhan.

At this stage, no coronavirus epidemic or pandemic exists. 

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) confirmed five cases in the US, linked to travelers returning from Wuhan. Dozens of others potentially ill from the coronavirus haven't been confirmed.

On Monday, Global Research.ca explained that five million cases of common flu occur annually worldwide, resulting in 650,000 deaths, according to the WHO, adding:

The CDC "estimates that so far this season, there have been at least 15 million flu illnesses for the 2019-2020 season, 140,000 hospitalizations and 8,200 deaths in the US." 

"The CDC reports there have been 54 reported flu-related pediatric deaths this season from Influenza B viruses."

On Saturday, the WHO called the coronavirus global risk "moderate," stopping short of declaring a public health emergency of international concern.

According to WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesu, there's an "emergency in China but it has not yet become a global health emergency. It may yet become one," adding:

"WHO's risk assessment is that the outbreak is a very high risk in China, and a high risk regionally and globally."

So far, the above assessment is speculation, not fact.

On Tuesday, the South China Morning Post (SCMP) headlined "Debunking the myths around China's deadly coronavirus outbreak," saying:

The virus is contagious, what's true about many diseases. Experts "are still trying to determine how easily the (coronavirus) can be spread between humans, and if airborne transmission is feasible," adding:

The disease is spreading, to what extent beyond its epicenter unclear. No cure exists so far.

Most deaths have been elderly and middle-aged individuals. Doctors in China are "us(ing) HIV retroviral drugs as part of its treatment plan for the coronavirus infection."

The US National Institutes of Health is working on developing a vaccine, human trials to begin later this year.

Surgical masks are only partially effective. They don't provide an airtight seal to prevent the virus from entering the nose or throat, and it can enter the body through exposed eyeballs.

Public health officials recommend preventative measures, including frequent hand-washing, covering the mouth when coughing or sneezing, and avoiding consumption of raw or undercooked animal products.

China's National Health Commission said dozens of samples from Huanan seafood tested positive for coronavirus, mostly from vendors selling wild animals.

Two Chinese studies suggested the virus originated in bats. A Friday Lancet report said 13 of the first 41 hospitalized coronavirus patients were unconnected to seafood consumption.

Much more research into the virus' origin and how to contain and treat it remains to be done.

Separately on Tuesday, SCMP cited Chinese authorities saying the coronavirus death toll exceeds 100, more than 4,500 others affected.

On Monday, Natural News reported an estimated 44,000 infected with the virus, citing University of Hong Kong academics, including individuals "in the incubation stage of the virus," adding:

"Lead researcher and dean of HKU's faculty of medicine Gabriel Leung said his team estimated there were 25,630 patients showing symptoms in Wuhan and that the number would double in 6.2 days, according to mathematical modeling based on infection figures worldwide as of Saturday."

Confirmed cases outside the Wuhan epicenter of the outbreak are few, less than 100 worldwide so far.

At the same time, the virus may continue to spread in the coming weeks and months, every carrier able to contaminate others.

Natural News quoted Chinese researcher Gabriel Leung, saying his teams research "showed self-sustaining human-to-human transmission was already happening in all major mainland cities and warned" of a potentially much more widespread outbreak, "peaking in late April or early May."

He called for "draconian measures" to contain things. Confirmed cases in the US are individuals returning from China.

According to the Lancet, over 80% of those exposed to the coronavirus will become infected - the incubation period from 2 - 14 days.

Over a decade ago during a Swine flu H1N1 outbreak, the WHO falsely predicted a global pandemic affecting "as many as two billion people over the next two years."

At the time, evidence suggested that the H1N1 strain was bioengineered in a US laboratory, vaccines produced for it extremely hazardous and potentially lethal.

The  Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) issued a phony "determination that a Public Health Emergency exist(ed)...as a consequence of confirmed cases of H1N1 Influenza in four US states."

No national or global emergency existed. Claiming it at the time was a scheme to convince people to take experimental, untested, toxic and extremely dangerous vaccines that damage the human immune system and cause health problems ranging from annoying to life-threatening.

Coronavirus cases emerged a month ago, the risk of how greatly it may spread pure speculation.

Though potentially a serious public health issue, it may be containable ahead, outbreaks in China so far the only ones of concern - mainly in the Wuhan epicenter.

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Russia criticizes Trump’s ‘deal of the century’ peace plan

2020/01/28

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, after his visit to the United States, will come to Moscow to personally tell Russian President Vladimir Putin about the "deal of the century" to resolve the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, The Jerusalem Post columnist Lahav Harkov tweeted.

US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the peace plan during a joint meeting at the White House on January 28. According to sources close to the US president, the "deal of the century" stipulates for the annexation of Palestinian territories by Israel in exchange for peace.

The plan is supposed to put an end to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. According to the deal, the West Bank can be given to Israel. In this case, the international community and Palestine will have to recognize the occupation of the area.

The Russian Foreign Ministry has already criticized the deal of the century. Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia, Mikhail Bogdanov, believes that the American side should have consulted with Palestine during the development of the peace plan.

Israeli West Bank occupation legal?

Israeli settlements were founded in Judea and Samaria on the West Bank after 1967. The UN Security Council considers these territories occupied, while Israel defines them as disputed.

Political observers believe that Trump's plan is designed to produce an effect in the political system of Israel, rather than to resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict. The US president is thus trying to show influence on the outcome of the next parliamentary elections in Israel and win the support of US-based Jews amid attempts of impeachment in the pre-election period. The foreign policy agenda may also help Prime Minister Netanyahu, who was charged with bribery and betray of public trust.

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Many Russians support Russia’s unification with Belarus

2020/01/28

71% of Russians agree that Russia is a great power. As shown by the recent poll conducted by Levada Center, the number of Russian respondents who agreed with this statement reached a maximum of 75% in 2018.

  • The share of respondents who do not consider the country a great power also reached a historic low of 23% in 2018. Now it began to grow again and amounted to 26%. Most of the respondents believed that Russia should not be called a great power: as many as 30% of respondents shared the same point of view in 2005, while 67% disagreed.
  • Most respondents, who answered this question, were guided by the image of the perception of Russia by other countries of the world. In this interpretation, the Russians see international sanctions as recognition of Russia's new role in the world by the West.
  • The decrease in the share of those who consider Russia a great power may be due to difficulties in the interaction of the Russian authorities with Ukraine and Belarus. The perception of Russia as a great power may strengthened again during the US elections if US authorities start talking about the Russian interference in US elections again.

Russia and Belarus to become one?

In the poll, respondents were also asked about the relationship between Russia and Belarus. As many as 44% believe that Russia and Belarus should cooperate more actively in the economic sphere, 28% believe that it is necessary to maintain cooperation at the same level. Thirteen percent support the creation of the joint state with one administration, while ten percent believe that Belarus should become part of Russia.

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Nazism in Ukraine: Icing on the cake of Western hypocrisy

2020/01/27

Poland and Ukraine continue to square off with each other because of the Stepan Bandera banner that was hung for his 111th anniversary in Kiev. Earlier, Polish and Israeli ambassadors Bartosh Tsikhotsky and Joel Lion condemned the hanging of the Stepan Bandera banner by the Kiev City State Administration. Ukraine summoned the Polish ambassador and asked him "not to interfere into internal affairs of Ukraine."

Poland decided to formally establish equal responsibility of Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union for the outbreak of World War II.

Inna Novikova, Pravda.Ru editor-in-chief, talked about issues of Nazism in Ukraine in an interview with Vyacheslav Polosin, Doctor of Philosophy, Ph.D. in Politics, political scientist and Daria Mitina, Secretary of the United Communist Party of the Russian Federation.

Nazism in Ukraine

"On January 1, Ukraine celebrated the birthday of Stepan Bandera, a Nazi accomplice and executioner his own people. Europe has always had a loyal approach to this issue, turning a blind eye to Nazi marches and saying that it was an internal affair of Ukraine. Not that long ago, Putin spoke on the subject. There were historical documents presented, including those confirming that a Polish ambassador pledged to erect a monument to Hitler if he could hope with the Jews."

Daria Mitina: "Indeed, the ambassador said that 70-80 years ago."

"The Polish Jews rushed to defend that ambassador saying that the story was different. However, Poland and Ukraine have their disagreement on the matter of the Bandera banner in Kiev and Poland expresses its concerns on a regular basis. Do you think this is just a tribute to the moment, or does Poland wants to remember its war victims? Can Poland show influence on Ukraine at this point?"

"Poland has never forgotten them. One needs to realize that the things that state officials say can be very different from the things that the people say."

"We are talking about the official position of the authorities."

"Well, Andrzej Duda has no complaints against Ukraine, nor does he ever recollect the Volyn massacre or any other similar stories in his public speeches. He is such an American puppet - he knows what he can say and what he should not say."

"But he is a national and patriotic figure in Poland."

"Yes, he is a  representative of the national Polish movement, but the key word here is "Polish."

Poland's role in Europe has always been very special. Today, one may say that Poland is a European office of the US State Department. To maintain this role, the Poles are ready to trample on their great Polish pride and forget such fresh wounds as the behavior of Ukrainian Nazis during WWII.

However, the diplomatic isolation, in which Ukraine finds itself, becomes stronger and stronger.

Originally, Hungary protested against the language policy in Ukraine, in particular against the Hungarian and Ruthenian population of Transcarpathia, etc. Now it is the Poles who loosen their tongue slowly but surely, other countries are also complaining.

The numbness of 2014, when everyone thought that the whole world would turn its back on Russia, is disappearing.

People begin to recall real stories from history, and common sense slowly begins to prevail, but this process is very, very slow.

A reminders of WWII is a reason to think

Putin's remarks about the Polish ambassador became a cold shower to many. People started thinking, they started recollecting. Many did not even know that story about the Polish ambassador - it became a revelation to many people. In general, Putin's remarks on the subject mean that one should revisit the history of World War Two.

I personally believe that common sense about Ukrainian Nazism will prevail in about ten years. From the point of view of history, ten years is like ten days. However, given the current state of affairs in Ukraine and in independent republics of the Donbass, this is a very long period of time. Millions of people are forced to live in this atmosphere of permanent terror and suppression of dissent. A a lot of bloody and tragic events have already happened in Ukraine in five years, and a lot more will happen in ten years. Therefore, one needs to talk about it as often as possible. Ukraine expressed its protest about "Volynia" - a new Polish film that many in Europe have had a chance to watch. The film was banned in a number of countries, because they received instructions from across the ocean not to develop the anti-Ukrainian topic.

However, I am convinced that the truth will always find a path, it is just a question of time and the price that we have to pay for this."

"The question is about the people who misinterprets history and wants others to think their own way. The leaders of many small countries hold US passports and US diplomas. All major mass media outlets are not independent either."

Vyacheslav Polosin: "Modern people forget about the role of Stepan Bandera, about his attitude towards the Poles and the Jews. The Western propaganda machine wants to sweep all this under the carpet, so Putin's remarks about the Polish ambassador came as something extremely extraordinary. Needles to say that such stories should never be kept secret in any democratic society in the world. If people make movies and show them in cinemas, then other people get a chance to see the historical truth. If such movies are banned in some countries, then it's no democracy, but a totalitarian regime. After all, people can get all this via the Internet.

Who started WWII? Who should be responsible?

We must also pay attention to the official decision of the Polish parliament to establish equal responsibility of Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union for the outbreak of World War II. There some inconsistency in this decision.

Of course, if we take the secret protocol to the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, then one may come to such a conclusion indeed. However, the document does not read: "Start the Second World War now!" In general, Germany's attack on Poland was not qualified as an outbreak of World War II.

Before that, in 1938, Poland took part in the dissection of Czechoslovakia. All Western countries, approved that and no one could not believe that it would be a start to the Second World War. In general, there is no specific date - any historically significant date of that period could be seen as such: 1938, or even 1936 in Spain - there were many of such local treaties concluded with the help of which different countries tried to regulate certain moot questions and secure themselves.

The Soviet Union was also looking for ways to secure itself. One should not see this wish as a desire to conquer the whole world or all of Europe. Hitler wanted to fight and conquer, one can clearly see it in "Mein Kampf," but the Soviet Union had no such intention at all. From this perspective, USSR's equal responsibility for the outbreak of WWII does not make any sense. One should not forget that Poland became larger as a result of USSR's victory over Nazi Germany.

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There is one big, profound difference between USA and Russia

2020/01/27

Having killed Iranian General Qaseem Soleimani, US President Donald Trump was hoping to strengthen his position before the election. However, it appears that Trump has played not only against Iran, but against himself too.

In general, this applies to the United States as a whole, because the presence of US military in foreign countries causes an outburst of anti-American sentiments there. The Americans have become the greatest enemy of the Americans. Why did it happen?

Lyuba Lulko (Stepushova), an international observer of Pravda.Ru, talked about it in an interview with Valery Garbuzov, the director of the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

US-led policy in the Middle East

"Mr. Garbuzov, do you think that the Iranian authorities hope that Trump will lose the election, a Democrat will take office as new president and then something will change?"

"You know, many pray for Trump to lose the election."

"They do not have any other hope in Iran."

"Indeed, but the policy of the United States in relation to the countries in the Middle East has not been the same:

  • Barack Obama tried to mend USA's relations with the Arab world, and he was running a policy towards Israel, which Israel did not like very much.
  • These days, with Trump serving as president, a lot has changed. Trump is doing the opposite. He began aggravating relations with the Arab world and banked on Israel. He even recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, although no one could not even imagine that this could happen. Yet, Trump made it happen out of the blue, and that move exacerbated the state of affairs in this region of the world even further.
  • One may assume that if a Republican moves into the White House, let alone a Democrat, the United States will change or adjust its policy in the Middle East again - it will not be so explicitly pro-Israeli. Most likely, the new policy will be aimed at maneuvering in this region, because it is simply impossible to act there in a different way.

Rise in anti-American sentiment

"Otherwise, the United States will have to leave the region, because the Americans have become a thorn in the side even for their allies in the region."

"But the United States maintains military presence in other countries of the world."

"USA's presence in different parts of the world causes mixed reactions It raises anti-American sentiments in most cases. This is a classic reaction.

In the Middle East, anti-American sentiment is running high. They despise the USA in the Middle East. In general, the USA needs to think of ways to restructure its policies in the Middle East, but the USA has been acting in a very rude and straightforward manner, especially recently. As a matter of fact, no other country, not even China, acts like that now.

China, perhaps, has learned most lessons from the American policy of globalism. It seems to me that the Americans are making their own sworn enemy out of themselves.

USA and USSR: The big difference

"Does it remind you the Gorbachev time, when the Soviet Union fell apart because we could not come up with something new to change the system?"

"There is one big and profound difference between the USA and the USSR.

When the American leadership does something wrong, makes mistakes, makes completely obvious mistakes, intentional or unintentional ones, then there is always a clear and fairly simple way out - to re-elect the president. People go to the polls to elect their new president every four years, and no one can change it. Nothing can change it - not even a war or a natural disaster. If Trump has made many serious mistakes, then the Americans have an opportunity to replace him. Yet, he can keep his place in the White House. If the American society Yes, he might stay in the White House, or he might not. And if you cannot replace it, then the American society needs to question its own nature.

"For some reason, when we have a similar situation in Russia, when we don't like what our president does, we cannot replace him with any other president due to different circumstances.

This, of course, is our big problem and our big mistake.

The worst thing about the foreign policy in the United States is that the shortcomings of their foreign policy behavior get conserved. The Americans do not need that at all, because it causes a wave of anti-American sentiment.

"Are you talking about a matter of internal political struggle, or is it manifestation of discontent of the common people? Or is it a power struggle?"

"Many people think that this is a matter of struggle of the US political elite, and in fact this is all true. However, it does not mean that the masses do not take part in this struggle. There is no other country in the world, where the electorate would be more involved in the political process. When they say that the Americans vote to elect their president, they really mean it.

The president of the United States of America is the president of the American people.

Of course, the political elite plays a very big role in all this, but it is not the elite alone. If it were only for the political elite to say its decisive word, Trump would never be elected. He would never become president, because the entire elite was against him. It was the people, who came to realize that globalization was bringing them big problems, so they went to vote for Trump in a hope that he would be able to solve these problems.

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What is wrong with the shooting down of flight Ukraine International Airlines 752

2020/01/26

Iran will not easily forget the dawn of January 8, 2020. Maybe it never will. Revenge for General Qassem Soleimani was not washed by the blood of American soldiers in the Middle East, but by that of the passengers and crew members of the flight Ukraine International Airlines 752, which left Tehran-Imam Khomeini international airport and shot down by a missile just minutes from takeoff.

by Lorenzo Vita & Paolo Mauri

A disaster that immediately appeared something different from a tragic fatality. The timing of the incident, precisely on the night when Iran launched its operation against two US bases, foreshadowed something different. And so it was. After the first news on the fall of the Ukrainian flight and the first accusations made by western intelligence, Iran has admitted it: that Boeing 737 departed from Tehran had actually been shot down by the anti-aircraft defence. A tragic mistake due to the exchange of the civilian plane that left Imam Khomeini airport for an enemy military plane or missile.

The admission of guilt by the Iranian government - which came with the condolences of Hassan Rouhani and Mohamed Zarif and with the dramatic confession of the commander of the Pasdaran aerospace forces, General Amir Ali Hajizadeh - did not however silence any questions. Something, on that endless night in Tehran, remains unclear.

The missile that hit Boeing

According to reports in the press - and never denied by Tehran - two Russian-made 9K330 missiles of the Tor-M1 mobile air defense system were to shoot down the Ukrainian Boeing. As can also be seen from the video [1], two missile trails can be distinguished at 21 seconds from each other: a time factor to which we will then return.

Iran purchased 29 specimens of Tor-M1 (Sa-15 "Gauntlet" in NATO code) in 2006. The system is used for short / medium range air defense having the ability to engage radar targets up to a distance of 25/30 kilometers and to hit them at a maximum distance of 12, with a range of engagement from ten to 6 thousand meters.

The 9K330 missile, which is used by the Tor-M1, is radar-guided with a proximity spool. This means that it heads towards the target thanks to the radar and that its warhead does not explode on contact but at a predetermined distance. When launched, it rises vertically up to an altitude of about 20 meters, and then leans, thanks to the jets, and heads towards the target. Its safety distance, i.e. the minimum distance beyond which the missile is active, is 1500 meters.

Times and distances: there' something wrong

Everything suggests that the Iranian version is correct. However, according to the missile data, in the video (so far one of the rare "direct" sources to explain the mystery) there is something that does not coincide perfectly. And it is appropriate to analyze it to understand if a second theory actually exists in addition to the tragic decision of an Iranian soldier.

Both missiles are not seen starting vertically first - but this could only be a perspective factor - but above all the sequence shows the first missile hitting the aircraft, followed only 21 seconds later by the second: the fatal one.

A particular dynamic to which is added another node that can be decisive. Assuming that the missiles were actually fired from the military base near the airport, the second missile would have hit the aircraft at a distance that is less than the minimum safe distance for the activation of the warhead of the missile with which it is armed the Tor.

All sources [2] agree that the 737 was flying at a height of around 2400 meters above sea level, which is more than enough distance for the missile to "arm itself". However, the height from land must be subtracted from this altitude. And Tehran is located about a thousand meters above sea level. So the actual altitude of Ukrainian Airlines Boeing from the ground was around 1300 meters. If the first missile hits the aircraft at a distance between 2700 and 3300 meters from the presumed launch point, therefore beyond the safety threshold, the second - which arrives 21 seconds later - appears to be below this threshold as highlighted from the reconstruction of the route held by Boeing.

The same interval of time elapsed between the first launch and the second is long for the tactics used in the use of the Tor system: after the first missile the other is usually launched a few seconds later to perform a deadly 1-2 on the target. 21 seconds is too long.

A manpad? Everything would change

At this point, we can reflect on a second option. Premising that these are hypotheses based on the analysis of sources accessible to all. Black boxes and real data are being investigated by investigators.

Iran has a number of portable surface-to-air devices, the so-called manpad, capable of being operated by one man, who have flight profiles and safety devices that best adapt to what is seen in the video. In particular, Iran has an unknown number of Strela M-2, Strela 3, Igla-S, Misagh-1 and 2 and apparently also some Stinger left over from the supplies obtained illegally from the United States (affair Iran-Contra) during the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s.

The famous 21 seconds spent between one missile and another are more than enough to make a second launch of a manpad from the same device or from a second once, on sight, you realized that the plane was still in conditions of flying. Moreover, this theory would be better suited to explaining how it was possible that the operators of the Tor-M1 system, which is inserted in the Iranian anti-aircraft "defensive belt", could have exchanged a civilian aircraft, equipped with a regular transponder, for a military target.

A disturbing scenario

Of course it is difficult, with the means available, to find the truth. And maybe it will be impossible. However, what is certain is that something happened that night in Tehran. Because what started with the murder of Soleimani is a movement of accusations, counter-accusations, threats and appointments which suggests that something is changing in the upper echelons of the Islamic Republic and the Guardians of the Revolution.

The killing of Soleimani, a man who was considered a loyalist to Ali Khamenei, marked a clear turning point in Tehran's strategy in the Middle East. Esmail Ghaani, Soleimani's deputy and new Quds leader, is a system man who many consider much less autonomous than his predecessor and much closer to the hard wing. The Supreme Guide chose Ghaani in the wake of continuity: but in reality his appointment goes beyond mere bureaucratic replacement. And in the meantime, General Hajizadeh's assumption of responsibility discredits the head of the most important force of the Pasdaran's strategy after the Quds, that aerospace force that guides the missile program.

The political earthquake that arose with the killing of Soleimani, continued with the desire for revenge and ended (for now) with the sermon of Ali Khamenei in the Friday prayer (first time after eight years) indicates that something is changing in the system of the Islamic Republic . Even the images of Rouhani abandoning the prayer behind Khamenei [3] before the end of the services, with the amazed gaze of the president of parliament, Ali Larijani, could be the signal of the fracture. The Supreme Guide sermon is never just any sermon: and the words used by the Ayatollah have been fiery towards the world.

A fracture that clearly grafted onto the doubts of a plane crash that appears to be increasingly full of mysteries.

If was not a Tor system but a manpad - thus trying to contradict the universally accepted theory - then someone has taken up that weapon and fired. Who and on whose behalf it is impossible to understand but would certainly surround the sort of mini-revolution that the establishment of the Republic is witnessing. But about the why this flight was chosen, there are many hypotheses and none certainties.

What is sure is that the plane was not supposed to leave on a night of missile raids, as commandant Hajizadeh had ordered. But that order remained unheeded at Tehran airport: so much so that the Boeing, received the ok from the control tower, got up regularly in flight without receiving any contraindications.

Another mystery is that the Revolutionary Guard, which has a base right near Khomeini airport, may have made a mistake so clumsy that it swapped an airliner taking off from an airport a few kilometers away with an enemy aircraft. The radars of a system such as the Iranian anti-aircraft could not make such an error and a soldier is not alone in activating the missiles: there is a battery. The third mystery, which can only be touched upon, is to understand if behind the destruction of an airplane there is not only an internal struggle but also the will to hit precisely that airplane.

Mysteries that are likely to remain so. But if it wasn't a Tor error, the idea is that someone wanted to shake the system. To understand whether from inside or outside.

For now, with the investigations still ongoing and giving the "official" version for sure, at least one result seems clear, namely the weakening of some key figures in Iranian politics, Rouhani and Zarif in the first place. Those who are negotiating the new nuclear program deal in secret rooms.

[1] https://ift.tt/2Ns3tH7

[2] https://ift.tt/37wqq3Z

[3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMjrwtFixNA

**********************

Original column by Lorenzo Vita & Paolo Mauri:

https://ift.tt/2RU3dC2

Translation by Costantino Ceoldo

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Those who spill Putin’s beans in corporate Russia have to go

2020/01/24

The government of Dmitry Medvedev has resigned. Medvedev failed to meet the requirements of many of Putin's decrees, but Putin takes every effort to make the lives of former governmental officials comfortable by moving them to other high-ranking positions. Is there any place for the feeling for patriotism?


The Unknown Putin

And Medvedev's government goes to...

It became known that:

  • ex-Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev will work at the Security Council of the Russian Federation. There was a new position established especially for him - deputy chairman of the Security Council. Medvedev will thus deal with issues of improving the defense capability and security of the Russian Federation. Frankly speaking, security officials can hardly be happy to see Medvedev in their ranks.  
  • Maxim Topilin, the former Minister of Labor and Social Protection, who "defended" Russian pensioners by raising the retirement age, became ... the head of the Pension Fund. The former head of the Pension Fund, billionaire Anton Drozdov, who could not find any funds to index pensions for working pensioners for 4 years, was appointed to the position of Deputy Minister of Finance. The money to raise pensions for working pensioners was quickly found now.
  • Veronika Skvortsova, the former Minister of Health, who was unaware of the amount of real salaries of doctors in Russia, took the position of the head of the Federal Medical and Biological Agency. In other words, having failed in the field of primary health care, her new duty is to control it.
  • Vitaly Mutko, who was responsible for construction and housing in Medvede's government, could never manage to put things in order in both of those spheres. Moreover, when Mutko served on his previous position of the Minister for Sports, the doping scandal started. According to Grigory Rodchenkov, it was Mutko who was coordinating the substitution of samples with him. According to RBC, Mutko may take the post of the head of the state-owned investment company Dom.rf.
  • For ex-Minister of Culture Vladimir Medinsky, Putin personally promised to find a good place. He was appointed assistant to the president for culture, that is, he will become the curator of the industry.
  • The former head of the Ministry for Economic Development, Maxim Oreshkin, was appointed to a similar position.
  • Former Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Kozak, who was responsible for economic cooperation with Ukraine, also failed on his job. Yet, he found common language with Ukrainian officials, after Russia signed an extremely disadvantageous gas transit contract. Kozak was appointed deputy head of the presidential administration. One shall assume that the shadow cabinet will make Ukraine feel even better.

How can one love a country ruled by immoral officials?

Putin did not say why those people would not work in the new government. On the contrary, he thanked them for "macroeconomic stability", but said nothing about the microeconomic stability.

At the same time, it is not clear why Finance Minister Anton Siluanov is still in the office, because it was him, who, together with chairwoman of the Central Bank Elvira Nabiullina, crushed the economy with a system of unaffordable crediting and money supply restrictions.

Why does Denis Manturov, the Minister of Industry, keep his post as well, even though he failed the Superjet project and ruined the domestic aircraft-building industry?

There are other, more important questions left.

Why don't the "resigned" officials, who were basically dismissed for their professional ineptitude, bother to get new jobs for themselves? After all, ordinary citizens do it themselves. What kind of patriotism should the Russians have if Russian officials behave in a very rude way with people, they plunder the people and intend to do the same on their new posts?

Russia as a corporate state

Political analyst Dmitry Oreshkin told Pravda.Ru that Russia was turning into a corporate state that takes care of corporate people. An official as a member of the corporation knows a lot indeed and if he leaves one corporation for another, a competing one, he takes his knowledge there.

The model of Putin's state contains elements of corrupted loyalty, the expert added. Loyal people are allowed to receive profitable contracts or other advantages.

"Putin can not let these people go, because, firstly, they know too much. They can spill the beans, like Grigory Rodchenkov did, or join the opposition, like Mikhail) Kasyanov did. Therefore, Putin needs to soft-pedal on them, to give them an opportunity to work within the framework of the system, where they will not be able to cause the system any harm," Dmitry Oreshkin said.

For example, ex-Prosecutor General Yuri Chaika was moved to the North Caucasus Federal District as the head of this district, and "this post has very mysterious functions."

"He has the mechanism, he has a budget, but this is only for this mechanism. However, if the Kremlin needs something, they speak to the head of the region, rather than to the head of the federal district. In a nutshell, there are plenty of jobs for mediocre people in Russia who will look pretty good there," said Dmitry Oreshkin.

The state of officials was created in the Soviet Union

In a sense, such posts are an administrative pension.

"If you kick them out, well, Stalin used to destroy those who knew too much, because they could destroy the image of Stalin," the political scientist said.

According to him, senior Soviet officials would be deprived of the opportunity to talk about something significant. For example, Khrushchev used to send Zhukov in exile. They could still work, but they were not allowed to say anything.

Brezhnev, he added, gave Khrushchev an opportunity to write memoirs on the subject that were of concern to the Soviet authorities of that time. Putin is trying to prevent this by ensuring the loyalty of senior officials of the state by transferring them to other posts within the state "corporation."

Do Western officials abide by law at all times?

In the United States, Dmitry Oreshkin said, officials receive pension in accordance with the federal law. However, this is quite small a pension, just like president's salary. They set up various funds to secure themselves financially.

"There is no such corporate state in the US system. For example, Henry Kissinger, after leaving the civil service, became a member of the board of directors of a large consulting company and was making good money at Booz Allen Hamilton. He had the so-called GR (Government Relations) expertise. They paid him well, but no one was trying to shut his mouth, because he was not serving the US corporation - he was serving the US law," said Dmitry Oreshkin.

According to him, even the Russian Empire did not have such a thing as state corporation - this phenomenon was born during the times of the Soviet Union.

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The Graff conflict: Dmitry Tsvetkov wins first trial

2020/01/24

The court process between business partners, which was caused by disagreements about the Graff Diamonds store in Cyprus, lasted for several years. The first stage of the trial has recently ended in a London court, but the outcome of it was not in favor of plaintiff Rustem Magdeev, who seeks a compensation from his partner, Dmitry Tsvetkov. This week, the proceedings in the UK Commercial Court of the High Court of Justice continued. It is obvious that this process, which may seem insignificant in terms of the money involved, will have a great impact on its participants and on those individuals, whose names were voiced in London.

The story of the conflict 

Graff, an expensive jewelry store, was opened on the island of Cyprus in 2014 by three business partners: Dmitry Tsvetkov, Rustem Magdeev and Emil Gainulin. According to The Times, three years later, Rustem Magdeev filed a lawsuit against Dmitry Tsvetkov at the High Court of Justice, claiming that the partner should pay him back a loan worth £12.1 million.

Tsvetkov filed a counterclaim, in which he accused the businessmen of extortion, but also of attempted hostile takeover of the business. According to Dmitry, Gainulin withdrew about £47 million from the store, while Magdeev caused a damage worth £3.7 million, having disrupted  the sale of a 40-carat diamond. In order to put pressure on Tsvetkov, Magdeev flew to Cyprus in 2017 in the company of well-known criminal authority Radik Yusupov, nicknamed "Dragon." Shortly before the trip, Yusupov was released on parole from a penal colony, where he was serving a sentence for organizing a series of murders. Noteworthy, Yusupov pleaded guilty, which gave him the right to be released on parole even under articles of the Criminal Code that entail heavy punishment.

The Graff conflict: Dmitry Tsvetkov wins first trial. 63994.jpeg

The flight list

The well-informed Polit.ru website, which published the flight list of a private jet from Moscow to Larnaca, on which the names of Magdeev and Yusupov appear, believes that Rustem Magdeev used to be a member of an organized criminal group. In his youth, Magdeev was nicknamed "Broiler." It appears, however, that Dmitry Tsvetkov learned all this information as a result of an extended meeting of Graff partners with the participation of Radik "Dragon" Yusupov. In addition, it became known during the conflict that Magdeev did not invest his own money in the Graff boutique - he used the funds of the President of Tatarstan, Rustam Minnikhanov. Magdeev has personally informed Tsvetkov about it (the Versia national newspaper quoted him accordingly). In addition, this information was voiced in the courtroom in the UK.

Magdeev had indeed served an adviser to Minnikhanov in the past and continues to maintain public contacts. To crown it all, primary business interests of the Magdeev family are located in Tatarstan.


It was Dmitry Tsvetkov that Graff originally worked with. It was Tsvetkov who received the franchise management in Cyprus from François Graff, chairman of the board of directors of the jewelry company, via the Cypriot company Equix Group Ltd. However, as soon as information about the conflict between the entrepreneurs emerged, after the names as Minnikhanov and Yusupov became associated with Graff, having brought the smell of crime and corruption, he terminated his cooperation with Equix.

Rustem Magdeev is acting to collect 12.1 million pounds ($15 million) from Dmitry Tsvetkov. Magdeev refers to the agreement from 2014, which he concluded with EK Diamonds DMCC, a company from the United Arab Emirates, the owner of which was Emil Gainulin. In accordance with the document, Dmitry Tsvetkov was the guarantor. Ernest Magdeev, the son of Rustem, later filed a lawsuit, and Tsvetkov filed counterclaims.

In the fall of 2019, the Commercial Court of the High Court of Great Britain sided with Dmitry Tsvetkov and ordered the Magdeevs, the son and the father, to pay Dmitry Tsvetkov £36,000 in legal costs, as well as to compensate for other expenses, the amount of which may reach several hundreds of thousands of pounds. The court denied the appeal to both of the Magdeevs. The first ruling concerned the claims totaling about $5 million. This week, a second trial of the same lawsuits began in London with the claims worth $10 million pending.

Military secrets and non-transparent assets in the Graff case

Many Russian businessmen choose London to sort things out between themselves. It is generally believed that the judicial system in the UK is impartial and has a meticulous approach to any conflict, considering it from all sides, without amendments to the "telephone law" and financial viability of the parties. The most explosive case was the trial of Abramovich and Berezovsky, which the latter lost, despite his political proximity to the British authorities (Boris Berezovsky was granted asylum and protection in UK for politically motivated reasons). In the case of Graff, the choice of jurisdiction was primarily determined by the citizenship of Dmitry Tsvetkov and partly because of the legal affiliation of Graff jewelry company - this is a British legal entity.

The impartiality of the British legal system may play a bad trick on Rustem Magdeev. He lost without the right to appeal, as it happened at the first stage of the process at the end of the last year. It goes about the document called an "unexplained wealth order (UWO)." Two years ago, the British authorities launched Criminal Finances Act: UWO and decided to seize assets and property of foreign citizens, who could not clearly explain the origin of their wealth.

More than $90 billion is laundered in the UK every year, and authorities see it as a national threat.

In accordance with the Criminal Finances Act 2018, the authorities may demand an explanation to explain the origin of £50,000 at least. UK National Crime Agency considers wealthy Russian as risky community, according to the Financial Times. As TASS wrote, the UK already issued first UWOs against Russian citizens. Given the publicity of the process around Graff in London, one may assume that Rustem Magdeev will be at risk. It was said during the trial that the millions, which Magdeev invested in Graff's business in Cyprus belonged to a federal Russian top official, Rustam Minnikhanov. This detail alone is enough to initiate an investigation into Magdeev. It just so happens that his funds can be defined as "assets of unknown origin," let alone the fact that there is only one thing hiding behind the concept of "funds of Russian top official" - corruption. The UK authorities are happy to arrest any corrupt capital to add it to the nation's treasury. Quite possibly, though, Magdeev does not have either real estate in London or accounts with British banks. However, this could be cold comfort in the event the authorities issue an unexplained wealth order for assets of unknown origin against Rustem and Ernest Magdeev. The latter is a Swiss citizen. In Switzerland, the Magdeevs have not only real estate, but also bank accounts. Rustem Magdeev holds a Cypriot passport, and Cyprus, as is well-known, used to be part of the British Empire. To crown it all, the law of the island state is based on the British legal system. It is clear that the British order against Magdeev will prompt the authorities in other countries to inquire about the origin of his assets too.

In addition, Magdeev and Tsvetkov litigate in Cyprus for another matter that goes about the shares of a military R&D/production company based in Kazan - OKB named after Simonov (Simonov Design Bureau). A District Court of Limassol of Cyprus arrested Rustem Magdeev's multi-million-dollar property in order to secure the claim. In Cyprus it goes about $1.3 million, and the story is complicated there too. Alexander Gomzin, the general director of the OKB, around which there is a dispute between Magdeev and Tsvetkov, was arrested in Kazan, the capital of Tatarstan, where Rustam Minnikhanov serves as president. Earlier, Gomzin reported to the FSB (Russian intelligence service) about an attempt of Israeli services to recruit him at the behest of Magdeev, who was a co-owner of the OKB through a chain of companies. The attempt to recruit Gomzin was made during the presentation of the Graff boutique ... in Cyprus. For many years, the OKB was engaged in the development of the project of a heavy unmanned military aircraft for the Defense Ministry of the Russian Federation. Needless to say that all this information will surface at a British High Court sooner or later.

Money pipeline from Russia to Cyprus

Apparently, Emil Gainulin, Graff's third partner in Cyprus, another active participant in the arbitration process in London, will not be able to sleep peacefully after public hearings in London either. Gainulin has recently faced serious problems in Singapore, where tens of millions of dollars were frozen in his personal accounts. The Versia newspaper gave a detailed insight into Gainulin's and Magdeev's problems in its investigation ("Little People of the Laundromat").

In particular, journalists exposed Gainulin's letter to Rothschilds' bank, in which he is trying to explain the origin of hundreds of millions of dollars. The Versia analyzed tax statements from Emil Gainulin's main asset - the company Podvodtruboprovodstroy, a major contractor of Gazprom and Transneft giants. Gainullin controls 46 percent of the company, while the second half is controlled by Mikhail Turetsky, who known as "Moysha" in Lyubertsy's criminal circles. In 2012-2015, Gainulin's company earned a net profit of more than 450 million rubles (about $13 million, at the exchange rate of those years) with a turnover of more than 30 billion rubles (about $900 million). At the same time, in his letter to Banque Edmond de Rothschild, Emil Gainulin reported his annual income received from the activities of Podvodruboprovodstroi in the amount of ... $60-75 million.

In other words, Gainulin declared in writing that he received the income of more than $250 million from his asset in Russia, while the asset had a net profit of only $13 million for the same period. It does not seem surprising that bankers regarded such activities as suspicious and related to large-scale money laundering in especially huge sizes.

In 2019, the Singapore branch of Standard Chartered Bank sent a letter to Emil Gainulin and his wife stating that he was no longer interested in continuing relations with them due to significant violations of the money laundering law. Singapore used to be a British colony too, by the way. 

It just so happens that Emil Gainulin invested in Graff the money that fit into the British Criminal Finances Act 2018. The fact that this money was invested in Cyprus through the countries of the Middle East will be just an insignificant detail. It was British company Graff Diamonds that received the money from investments of "unknown origin" aka laundered - this will be an important detail, which may cause a domino effect throughout Europe and beyond. In this regard, the victory of Dmitry Tsvetkov in the UK Commercial Court of the High Court without the right to appeal against plaintiffs, the Magdeevs, is not just a triumph of justice - it opens up the opportunity for the British authorities to start investigating into the assets of the Magdeevs and the Gainulins.

First reaction

The Graff conflict: Dmitry Tsvetkov wins first trial. 63995.jpeg
The Graff conflict: Dmitry Tsvetkov wins first trial. 63996.jpeg

Commenting on the outcome of the trial, Dmitry Tsvetkov noted that it was important for him to understand that he won the first lawsuit.

"Of course, I regard the decision as positive," Rosbalt quoted Tsvetkov as saying. First of all, I would like to note that the position of Rustem Magdeev and his son, Ernest Magdeev, in this process, in my opinion and to the best of my belief, was based on lies - they distorted and concealed the facts that they were aware of. They also tried to mislead the English judge. One can now say, based on this ruling, that their attempts to do that have failed."

The first meeting devoted to a new package of requirements from Rustem and Ernest Magdeev took place on January 20, 2020. A court ruling regarding the shares of OKB named after Simonov is to be made in Cyprus in spring.

"As for our trial in Cyprus, Magdeev has been killing the clock the best he can, it has been two years already, but I am sure of victory! I'm very sorry for Gomzin - such a talented scientist is forced to study law instead of science, moreover in practice," Dmitry Tsvetkov said.

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